Who will win the elections to the State Duma in 2016 according to experts, public opinion polls, forecasts
With each passing day, Russia is approaching the election of 18September, in a picture that clarifies the situation, who will win the elections to the State Duma in 2016, new details are emerging. If earlier the forecast of the outcome of the vote was clear ─ United Russia and its leaders are again at the helm ─, then today the number of helmsmen in state power may change. According to anonymous opinion polls, young people and middle-aged people more often preferred the LDPR. People of the older generation, by tradition, support the Communist Party. Oppositionists are finding fewer sympathizers. The Parnassus party is gaining popularity with every week, while the leader and the majority party United Russia has lost some of the electorate due to the decline in the popularity of its leader Dmitry Medvedev. According to experts, most Duma seats will, of course, receive United Russia, but for the first time their percentage will be reduced. Because of the changes in the procedure for the 2016 elections and the vote for half of the candidates in single-mandate constituencies (in fact, they will vote for the person), the final outcome of the September 18 elections can be a surprise for everyone.
Who will win the elections to the State Duma in 2016?
Today the alignment of forces in the political arena of Russiaallows to assume that the State Duma, elected on September 18, 2016, will be "three-party". "Fair Russia", quite a bit behind the top three leaders of the United Russia, the LDPR and the Communist Party, is constantly balancing on the threshold of a five percent barrier. Moreover, with the growing popularity of the liberal-democratic party, the balance was slightly violated. "Fair Russia" has lost the percentage of voters who support it. Opposition parties, in the opinion of experts and political scientists, in general, most likely, will go to the State Duma only thanks to the deputies elected in single-mandate constituencies. Today, outsider parties should consider how best to campaign for their nominees for the districts. Given the high support of their candidates, the faction of each minority party will increase. Thus, they will also be able to influence the outcome of further voting in the Duma and whether the prohibition of laws and amendments to them. He will win elections to the State Duma in 2016, as the expats believe, United Russia again. "Silver" medalist of the race can change: the LDPR and its permanent leader Vladimir Zhirinovsky are doing everything possible to win. Gennady Andreevich Zyuganov, who also heads his party (CPRF) for many years, provides his comrades with support. KPRF, LDPR and United Russia ─ three leaders.
Who will win the elections to the State Duma in 2016? Forecast
You do not need to be an experienced political scientist to givethe forecast of the victory of parties in the elections to the State Duma. In 2016, with a large margin from their rivals and future colleagues and colleagues, United Russia is leading. Nevertheless, the forecast for the second and third places in the lower house of the Russian parliament is difficult to do until September. In the winter, the Communists (CPRF) followed the ER. Today the LDPR has bypassed them on this stretch of the distance before the elections. Deputies elected to the State Duma of the seventh convocation will not be easy. The previous composition of the Duma began to work with a more favorable political and economic situation both in the country and in the world as a whole. There was still no Ukrainian Maidan, which prompted a quick decision of the Crimeans to return to Russia. Even in Ukraine there was no civil war. Russia was neither under economic sanctions, nor under political pressure. Now the deputies elected by the people will have to be more difficult than all the members of the State Duma, when elected. The country needs to be pulled out of the economic crisis. Political games will need to learn to be ignored. Deputies should become more loyal and wise. Most likely, the upcoming elections of the President of the United States will also greatly influence the situation in the world and in Russia. In the United States, in November, a new, 45 head of state will appear, and this person will be extraordinary. With whoever had to deal with Russia and the deputies of the Duma ─ with a woman-wife of the ex-president of the country or a billionaire who is clearly interested in the growth of personal popularity, the working conditions of elected representatives from the people will be non-standard.
Who will win the elections to the State Duma in 2016?
While Western political scientists are predictingRussia a new revolution in 2017, sociologists conduct independent polls of the population. They ask people on the streets, for whom they are going to vote on September 18. According to updated data from sociological polls conducted in June 2016, 44% of Russian citizens decided to vote accurately in the 2016 elections. Some of them still hesitate, as they are not sure that their decision could affect the outcome of the election campaign. At the same time, United Russia has already lost in the rating of 7-8%, and not so confidently feels winners. The planned vacations of the Duma deputies of the 6th convocation were canceled: a part of the old people's deputies will again claim the right to work in the lower house of the Russian parliament.
Of course, the question is who will win the election inThe State Duma in 2016, with any, even greatly changed alignment of political forces, has already been resolved: United Russia will win the majority. V. Zhirinovsky and the LDPR party, supporting the EP, in fact, adds "percentages of popularity" to themselves. Thus, according to the latest opinion polls, the opinion of experts and forecasts, only three parties of the EP, the LDPR and the CPRF will be held in the Duma.
